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Chapter 12a: Epidemiology by country – overview


          TBEV-EU  foci  have  been  reported  in  South   Again,  as  noted  above,  the  epidemiology  of
          Korea, approximately 7000 km away from the   TBE  is  a  ‘moving  target.’  Current  changes
          European   range   of   TBEV-EU   subtype   include  an  increase  in  geographical  distribu-
                   25
          circulation.  TBEV strains related to the TBEV-  tion  of  TBE-risk  areas  as  well  as  an  overall
          EU  subtype  were  isolated  in  rodents  and   increase of reported TBE cases (Table 2).
          humans in eastern and western Siberia as well
          as in the Ural territory. 23,26             In  recent  years  new  TBE  foci  have  been
                                                      reported  from  altitudes  up  to  2100  meters
          TBEV-FE  foci  has  not  only  been  reported  in   above  sea  level 29,30,31   new  endemic  zones  in
          Crimea, about 3000 km away from the known   previously  unaffected  alpine  regions  in
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                               27
          TBEV-FE circulation area.  it was also detect-  western  Austria   and  in  Switzerland  were
          ed in the Republic of Moldova between 2010   established,  and  a  first  report  of  TBEV  being
          and 2011.                                   detected  at  locations  in  Norway  up  to  more
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                                                      than  65.°N  was  published  2018.   A
          Geographical circulation of the TBEV subtypes,   remarkable  increase  in  annual  disease
          unusual TBEV subtype foci, and various carrier   numbers over the last couple of years is seen
          vectors  are  described  in  more  detail  in   in  Central  European  countries,  i.e.  Austria,
          Chapters 3 and 13.                          Czech  Republic,  Germany,  Sweden,  Switzer-
                                                      land (see Table 3)

          Trends in TBE epidemiology                  Clearly,  the  areas  with  TBEV  endemicity  as
                                                      well as the total number of reported TBE cases

          A  characteristic  feature  of  TBE  is  that  the   have increased over the last several decades.
          incidence of the disease in risk areas can vary   Comparing the periods from 1976 to 1989 and
          significantly from year to year. In addition to   1990    to  2009,  the  average  increase  in  TBE
          short-term fluctuations, there are also longer-  infections  among  humans  in  central  and
          range  undulations  of  incidence  rates  in   western  European  countries  was  317.8%  in
          intervals  of  >5  years,  which  have  been   Europe including Russia and it was 193.2% in
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          analyzed  in  detail  for  Austria,  the  Czech   Europe excluding Russia.
                             1
          Republic, and Slovenia  (see Figure 4). Except
          for the strong overall upsurge of TBE cases in   Various factors  may explain  these findings at
          the  Czech  Republic  and  Slovenia  starting   least  in  part:  social  factors  (socio-political
                                                      changes,  changes  in  human  behavior,  and
          around 1992 (but not in Austria, as a result of
                                                      leisure time activities), ecological (e.g., effects
          vaccination, mentioned above), the long-range
          incidence  curves  for  1990–2011  are  remark-  of  climate  changes  on  vectors),  and/  or
          ably similar for all 3 countries, suggesting that   technological  factors  (advanced  diagnostics,
          the  causes  for  the  increase  in  cases  are  the   increased  medical  awareness).  Certainly,
                                                      reporting  of  TBE  cases  has  improved
          same but not yet identified.
                                                      substantially over the years, and TBE is now a
          A  similar  fluctuation  over  time  has  been   notifiable  disease  in  the  EU.  Most  likely,
          recognized  in  Estonia,  a  country  with  one  of   however,  TBE  was,  and  still  is,  considerably
          the  highest  overall  incidences  in  Europe.   underreported.  In  the  end,  all  factors
          Looking into more detail for the years 2005 till   mentioned  above  may  play  an  ‘interactive
          2017 incidence is fluctuating between 6.2 and   role’ to explain these observed changes in TBE
          18.6,  and  comparing  the  different  counties   epidemiology.
          mean  incidence  (2005-2017)  varies  between
          5.2 and 52.8 (see Chapter 12b, Estonia).    The following country reports in Chapter 12b
                                                      provide a current state-of-the-art survey


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